Statistics of Corona Virus in Iran

The pandemic has sabotaged life in almost all parts of the world, affecting some countries more than others. The numbers and statistics of the Covid-19 cases, deaths and vaccinations in Iran discusssed in this blog highlight the general trend and the effects of pandemic mitigation in this country.

Mohammed Faizan https://etc5523-2021.github.io/blog-mohammedfaizan0014 (Monash University)https://www.monash.edu/
2021-09-03

Iran formally called Iran(Islamic Republic of) is a great country with a diverse, rich and egalitarian cultural heritage dwelled with some of the most humble people on this planet. They welcome people and their hospitality is one of its kind; treating guests with atmost dignity is their specialty. However, these people face many hardships due to the ongoing political sanctions which makes life difficult here. From experience, I say that most of the general services are unavailble here, including access to allopathy medications and common commodities. It is extremely difficult to access Iranian data, kudos to Johns Hopkins University for articulating the pandemic data of Iran. General information is provided in the table below.

Information 2020 2021
population 85028760.00 85028760.00
population_density 49.83 49.83
median_age 32.40 32.40
aged_65_older 5.44 5.44
aged_70_older 3.18 3.18
gdp_per_capita 19082.62 19082.62
extreme_poverty 0.20 0.20
cardiovasc_death_rate 270.31 270.31
diabetes_prevalence 9.59 9.59
female_smokers 0.80 0.80
male_smokers 21.10 21.10
hospital_beds_per_thousand 1.50 1.50
life_expectancy 76.68 76.68
human_development_index 0.78 0.78

In the recent times, and currently, Iran is facing a new wave of the corona virus, witnessing spike in the number of cases and deaths. There have been pleas from the locals for helping Iran face this pandemic with better access to health care and emergency supplies.

Data description

Overview of the Covid data

The Covid-19 data for this blog post is the contribution of Our World in Data who update their GitHub repository everyday with covid data from the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering (JHU CSSE). The data is a representation of the time series data where every record is a day of the year and represents the statistics of the corona virus cases, deaths and vaccinations, both fresh and cumulative. Additional, country specific statistics are also present in the data and has 65 variables for 562 days beginning from from 2020-02-19.

Unique Values of each varibale in the data set are displayed below:

Cases Distribution

The distribution of the reported cases and deaths is presented below, shows that unusual spike in both the cases and deaths are sparse in this country with about 200 days reporting predominantly low number of cases and deaths. The vaccinations data for Iran is not reported well with 71.5533981 percentage missing data from the date of first vaccination and 94.6619217, and hence, this blog does not cover the vaccination roll out program i Iran.

# A tibble: 5 × 3
  variable                n_miss pct_miss
  <chr>                    <int>    <dbl>
1 new_vaccinations           201     97.6
2 people_fully_vaccinated    181     87.9
3 people_vaccinated          178     86.4
4 total_vaccinations         177     85.9
5 date                         0      0  
Table 1: Deaths by cause over all years, ages, sex
month year n_cases n_deaths n_vaccinated
2 2020 593 43 0
3 2020 44012 2855 0
4 2020 50035 3130 0
5 2020 56826 1769 0
6 2020 76196 3020 0
7 2020 76542 5949 0
8 2020 71008 4805 0
9 2020 82007 4598 0
10 2020 155553 8695 0
11 2020 349298 13382 0
12 2020 263072 6977 0
1 2021 192857 2736 0
2 2021 213170 2114 3000
3 2021 254395 2592 0
4 2021 613513 9093 201060
5 2021 414059 8398 0
6 2021 291421 4108 0
7 2021 666451 6366 0
8 2021 1121055 17164 881127
9 2021 63449 1194 0

Analysis and findings

The time series graphs below represent the number of fresh cases and deaths in Iran over the period of the recorded data from February, 2020. You can hover over the plot to see the exact number. We see that there has been rise and fall in the numbers, having five peaks separated by uniform time intervals, except in February and March of 2021 when the numbers were low. In the early days, the ratio between the cases and the deaths was wide, however it has come closer in these recent times. This is the general trend in populous countries where there are more deaths when cases are on the peak, owing to lack of access to emergency healthcare services.

The interactive table below shows the exact number of cases and deaths in month and the trend within each month.